Game 44: Austria vs Türkiye live from the Leipzig Stadium. ITV1 8pm

[Coulthard's Jaw]

Austria are predicted as the most likely side to win inside 90 minutes by the Opta supercomputer, which gives them a 49.3% win probability. 

This will be the first meeting between Turkey and Austria at a major men’s tournament.

Rangnick’s side are a brilliant pressing unit. Only Germany (8.8) had a lower PPDA in the group stages than Austria (9.0), while they were second for tackles (61) behind Georgia (63) and top for fouls conceded (49).

Turkey love to get on the front foot, too. Indeed, only Portugal (5.8) and Spain (5.4) had a higher non-penalty expected goals (xG) total than Turkey (5.2) in the groups, while Vincenzo Montella’s team were also third for high turnovers (28), behind Croatia (34) and Portugal (30).

 

[Rebs]

This match will hopefully be BANGING.

[GunmaN1905]

Can't see Turkey holding up against Austria's pressing without Calhanoglu.

They could win, but they're definitely going to be on the back foot and trying to counter.

[CFuller]

Calhanoglu is a big miss for Turkey.

It'll be close, but I fancy Austria to win again - and set up another thriller against the Dutch.

[DJ]

Red Bull Arena. Austrian Anthem. Feels like Max won another one

[ceefax the cat]

COME ON AUSTRIA YOU MASSIVE B1TCH, YES YES YES

 

Edited July 2 by ceefax the cat

[av3ry]

After 754 cards in their last game. How many cards do we think Turkey will involved in tonight?

[av3ry]

Bardakci and Wimmer both look like walking yellow cards looking at recent fixtures. Unfortunately, Wimmer is suspended though.

[GunmaN1905]

Here we go!

[Darius1998]

What a mess.

[ceefax the cat]

holy 5h1t

[VP.]

Match of the tournament incoming.

[CFuller]

Incredible start from Türkiye!

Austria's defence 

[craigcwwe]

What a start!

[av3ry]

Better than last night already!

[Orzelek]

1-0 Demiral  

 

Terrible defending

[Lucas]

Crazy defending  

[CFuller]

Baumgartner close to an instant equaliser!

He's not a time-waster, is he? 

[Freakiie]

I demand goal line technology to be 100% sure that wasn't another one for OG!

[craigcwwe]

So nearly 1-1 after 2:14.  

[DJ]

From a Dutch point of view: ref, let's not be greedy with cards.

Potentially out next match:
Austria 6 + 2 on the bench
Türkye 6 + 3

[Rob1981]

Unused subs celebrating   Wind your necks in, lads.

[GunmaN1905]

What is this defending, lmao.

[Darius1998]

Another mess from a corner.

[Orzelek]

How did tha stay out  

[Freakiie]

This is not gonna stay 0-1 is it.

[Lucas]

My word what a game  

[ceefax the cat]

My night in with gin and nuts VINDICATED

[craigcwwe]

I had high hopes for this game, it's early but this is potentially in line to live up to those expectations. 

[Darius1998]

Free header now.

This is crazy.

[CFuller]

Feels like Austria are going to have 77 shots tonight and lose 1-0 to Turkey's only attack. 

[Nordan]

I like this start.

[georginho_juventusygr]

Urgh, genocide denier.

[DJ]

Warned against time games after 7 minutes  

[CFuller]

Kokcu booked - "Misses next match"

Won't be the last, I suspect.

[ceefax the cat]

come onnnn

Baum in the raum

 

[Freakiie]

There's the first one missing a potential QF.

[craigcwwe]

1 minute ago, CFuller said:

Kokcu booked - "Misses next match"

Won't be the last, I suspect.

13 players between the two sides that are a booking away from missing the next game if their team advances.  

[GunmaN1905]

1 minute ago, craigcwwe said:

13 players between the two sides that are a booking away from missing the next game if their team advances.  

It's kind of stupid that it's only two cards for suspension up to quarter-final.

Should be two for third group game suspension and then add one more in knockout stage.

[DJ]

That's a clear yellow ref, go on  

[ceefax the cat]

13 minutes ago, GunmaN1905 said:

It's kind of stupid that it's only two cards for suspension up to quarter-final.

Tis. Plays into the hands of traditional favourites too because you're less likely to have the depth to cover if you're Austria

[DJ]

9 minutes ago, ceefax the cat said:

Tis. Plays into the hands of traditional favourites too because you're less likely to have the depth to cover if you're Austria

If you need loads of fouls to win, there is a price for that.

[ceefax the cat]

15 minutes ago, DJ said:

If you need loads of fouls to win, there is a price for that.

being suspended after X number of cards in X number of games isn't really an immutable law of football though, and clearly we've all decided that it's farcical not to draw a line at some point and start again, because we accept that yellow cards happen and we don't want loads of players suspended for big games without having really done much wrong

We're just saying that it would be better to draw the line a bit earlier. Nobody's championing foul play, but having a potential ban potentially hanging over you for 3 games just for 1 booking seems pretty harsh, especially in a tournament that lasts 7 games max.

I'd be perfectly happy if it was just "bookings in successive games = 1 match ban" on a rolling basis. What's the point of having someone miss a once-in-a-lifetime quarter final for getting booked in games 1 and 4?

Edited July 2 by ceefax the cat

[georginho_juventusygr]

Horrible miss.

[av3ry]

Commentator thought it was offside not a goal kick a couple minutes ago. Anyone with eyes could see he was on side when running on to the ball, just failed to keep it in play, good try though.

[Darius1998]

Awful attempt.

[Ackter]

Two things I've seen in this tournament I think more than any other. 

1) Superb levels of selfishness

2) Passing the ball around, or even into, your own box while the opposition are close by.

[Freakiie]

Just now, Ackter said:

Two things I've seen in this tournament I think more than any other. 

1) Superb levels of selfishness

2) Passing the ball around, or even into, your own box while the opposition are close by.

What about the own goals?

[GunmaN1905]

And just like that...

[Darius1998]

That might seal it.